At 9:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the New York Knicks (511) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (512) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (53-34) has lost two of the last three games in this series after their 112-106 upset loss in overtime at home to the 76ers as a 4-point underdog on Tuesday. Philadelphia (50-38) still trails by a 3-2 margin in this series. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE KNICKS PLUS THE POINTS: New York should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 33 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing to an Atlantic Division rival. They go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 38 games after playing their previous game at home. Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 35 games after an upset win as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 26 games after an upset win as a road dog. The 76ers have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win against a divisional rival. 

FINAL TAKE: The Knicks have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when avenging an upset loss to their opponent. 8* NBA Thursday Late Show Bailout with the New York Knicks (511) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (53-34) has lost two of the last three games in this series after their 112-106 upset loss in overtime at home to the 76ers as a 4-point underdog on Tuesday. Philadelphia (50-38) still trails by a 3-2 margin in this series. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: It took overtime for Game Five to finish Over the Total — that game was tied at 97 at the end of regulation. The Knicks made 46.5% of their shots which was their second-best shooting effort in this series. But New York’s 3-point shooting has collapsed. After only making 7 of their 27 shots from behind the arc, they shot just 10 of their 36 shots from 3-point range on Tuesday — that’s a 27.0% shooting percentage from 3-point land in their last two games. The Knicks have not shot better than 43% in three of the five games in this series. But they are playing tough defense led by O.G. Anunoby and Isaiah Hartenstein. They are holding the Sixers to a low 54.8% shooting percentage at the rim. New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after an upset loss at home. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Philadelphia only made 48.1% of their shots at the rim on Tuesday. And despite them making 15 of their 39 shots (38.5%) from behind the arc, they only scored at a 110.9 points per 100 possession rate. For comparison's sake, the 76ers scored at a 116.3 points per 100 adjusted possession rate in the regular season — and their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in Game Five would rank 26th in the league if extended for the entire season. Joel Embiid deserves credit for taking the court — but he is so banged up with several maladies including his chronic left knee and now Bell's palsy. He needs rest — and he simply is not in the physical state to take his game down low. Instead, he is trying to survive out on the perimeter — but in his last two games, he is making only 36.8% of his shots including just a 20% shooting mark from behind the arc. Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Sixers have also played 8 of their last 12 home games Under the Total with the Total set from 200 to 209.5.

FINAL TAKE: The 76ers have played 7 of their last 11 home games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-pint range. The Knicks have played 13 of their last 22 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Indiana Pacers (514) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (513) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Indiana (50-38) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 115-92 upset loss on the road to the Bucks as a 5-point road favorite on Tuesday. Milwaukee (51-36) still trails in this series by a 3-2 margin.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PACERS MINUS THE POINTS: Indiana allowed the Bucks to make 52.4% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. They also let them shoot 51.1% from the field in Game Four — but they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 23 games after allowing their last two opponents to make 50% or more of their shots. The Pacers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss to a Central Division rival — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after an upset loss to a divisional opponent. Additionally, Indiana has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a double-digit setback. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 36 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games after a point spread loss. Tyrese Haliburton is listed as questionable as he deals with back spasms but he should continue to play through the pain. Despite being without the injured Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, Milwaukee enjoyed their best shooting effort in their last eight games with their 52.4% field goal percentage. Khris Middleton and Bobby Portis both scored 29 points — and even Patrick Beverley stepped up with 13 points and 12 rebounds. But with Antetokounmpo and Lillard not likely to the court again tonight, it is difficult to expect these players to approach those numbers again. As it is, the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after an upset win by 10 or more points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after an upset victory by 15 or more points. They have failed to cover the point spread in 46 of their last 68 games after an upset win against a Central Division opponent. They go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their 41 games this season. The Bucks have also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 road games as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games as an underdog getting up to six points.

FINAL TAKE: Indiana has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games when avenging a same-season loss. Additionally, the Pacers have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss by 20 or more points. 10* NBA Milwaukee-Indiana TNT Special with the Indiana Pacers (514) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (513). Best of luck for us — Frank.